Compounded effects of long-term warming and the exceptional 2023 marine heatwave on North Atlantic coccolithophore bloom dynamics Ocean Science DOI 10.5194/os-22-145-2026 14 January 2026 In 2023, an exceptional marine heatwave occurred in the North Atlantic ocean. This study evaluates changes in G.huxleyi dynamics showing bloom decline in the Celtic Sea and reaching unprecedented levels in the Barents Sea. These shifts reflect the direct impact of temperature extremes driven by human-induced climate change with major effects on ocean life and carbon cycle. Continuous monitoring is vital to understand and monitor regional adaptation of marine ecosystems. Read more
The carbon dioxide removal potential of cement and lime kiln dust via ocean alkalinity enhancement Biogeosciences DOI 10.5194/bg-23-399-2026 14 January 2026 Cement and lime kiln dust, industrial by-products, could help remove CO2 from the atmosphere by increasing surface ocean alkalinity. Lab experiments showed that a fraction dissolves rapidly in seawater, releasing substantial alkalinity. Most of the residual fraction may dissolve in marine sediments to drive further carbon storage. Both materials could thus aid in global CO2 removal, but careful application strategies are required to avoid harm to marine ecosystems. Read more
Global projections of aridity index for mid and long-term future based on CMIP6 scenarios Hydrology and Earth System Sciences DOI 10.5194/hess-30-163-2026 13 January 2026 Our study investigates global dryland dynamics and aridification under future climate scenarios. By employing the Food and Agriculture Organisation Aridity Index and an ensemble of 13 models from the 6th Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, we provide projections for dryland distribution and aridity index across three shared socio-economic pathways (2-4.5, 3-7.0, and 5-8.5) for the near-term (2030–2059) and for the long-term (2070–2099) future. Read more
Quantifying agricultural N2O and CH4 emissions in the Netherlands using an airborne eddy covariance system Atmospheric Measurement Techniques DOI 10.5194/amt-19-185-2026 12 January 2026 Nitrous oxide and methane emissions from agriculture need to be reduced, therefore emissions must be understood to effectively mitigate them. This is the first approach to measure those emissions aircraft-based, to assess their magnitude and drivers. We identified emission hotspots and temporal changes in agricultural emissions in the Netherlands. Our approach is applicable to further greenhouse gas emitters, therefore it builds a step towards more comprehensive emission quantification. Read more
Historical Droughts in British Colonial Belize (1771–1981) Climate of the Past DOI 10.5194/cp-22-25-2026 9 January 2026 This work presents the first documentary-derived chronology of droughts in British colonial Belize (1771-1981), integrating archival sources with extended instrumental records. Results show exceptional droughts in the 1880s, 1920s, and 1943-1955. Comparison of extreme colonial droughts with Terminal Classic Period palaeoclimate records shows a similar magnitude of precipitation reduction (29-59%) and provides a context to assess future climate projections for the region. Read more
Review of climate simulation by Simple Climate Models Geoscientific Model Development DOI 10.5194/gmd-19-115-2026 6 January 2026 Simple Climate Models (SCMs) are widely used tools to explore how Earth's climate may change in the future. In recent decades, the number and types of SCMs have increased significantly, hindering efforts to understand cross-model differences. In this study, we provide an overview of the main principles guiding climate simulation by SCMs, as well as a description of most high-profile SCMs. This work offers a clear reference to support the informed use of these important tools. Read more
Integrating fireline observations to characterize fire plumes during pyroconvective extreme wildfire events: implications for firefighter safety and plume modeling Atmospheric Measurement Techniques DOI 10.5194/amt-18-7805-2025 22 December 2025 Firefighter entrapments can occur when wildfires escalate suddenly due to fire-atmosphere interactions. This study presents a method to analyze this in real-time using two weather balloon measurements: ambient and in-plume conditions. Researchers launched 156 balloons during wildfire seasons in Spain, Chile, Greece, and the Netherlands. This methodology detects sudden changes in fire behavior by comparing ambient and in-plume data, ultimately enhancing research on fire-atmosphere interactions. Read more
Bridging science and practice on multi-hazard risk drivers: stakeholder insights from five pilot studies in Europe Earth System Dynamics DOI 10.5194/esd-16-2295-2025 22 December 2025 Disaster risk management faces growing challenges from multiple, changing hazards. Interviews with stakeholders in five European regions reveal that climate change, urban growth, and socio-economic shifts increase vulnerability and exposure. Measures to reduce one risk can worsen others, highlighting the need for better coordination. The study calls for flexible, context-specific strategies that connect scientific risk assessments with real-world decision-making. Read more
A system for analysis of H2 and Ne in polar ice core samples Atmospheric Measurement Techniques DOI 10.5194/amt-18-7865-2025 22 December 2025 This study describes a system for analysis of hydrogen (H2) and neon (Ne) in polar ice core samples in the field immediately after drilling. The motivation is to reconstruct the atmospheric history of H2 to improve understanding of global H2 biogeochemistry and how it has varied over time. This knowledge will help inform models used to project future atmospheric levels of H2 and assess the climate impacts of widespread utilization of H2 as an energy source. Read more
Estimating the AMOC from Argo profiles with machine learning trained on ocean simulations Ocean Science DOI 10.5194/os-21-3541-2025 18 December 2025 The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a large current system that helps regulating Earth's climate. Monitoring the AMOC relies on fixed instruments anchored to the seafloor. This study explores, in a high-resolution model, whether data from Argo floats, autonomous drifters collecting hydrographic profiles, can be used to monitor the AMOC cost-effectively with the help of Machine Learning. Results suggest that Argo floats can extend AMOC monitoring beyond current fixed arrays. Read more